The Gilded Draw
brainteaser
Three identical boxes sit on a table. One contains two gold coins, another contains two silver coins, and the third contains one gold coin and one silver coin. You choose one of the three boxes uniformly at random. Without seeing its contents, you shake it and draw one of its two coins at random. The coin you draw is gold. Given this new information, what is the probability that the coin still inside the chosen box is also gold?
Hints
Hint 1
Hint 2
Hint 3
Solution
Commit an attempt to unseal the proof. Write your answer — right or wrong, thinking it through is the point.
What is the probability that the remaining coin is gold?
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